100 tahun ke depan?

Lagi ke toko buku import, lihat di etalasenya…

Lagi di bandara, lihat seorang bapak-bapak usia 50-an, bule, sedang menunggu boarding ke flight berikutnya sambil asyik membaca buku ini.

Dari judulnya sih menarik. Di Indonesia download ebook secara ilegal gampang saja di rapidshare dkk tinggal ambil. Saya mencoba melakukan itu di sebuah negara di benua eropa, eh… ternyata situs-situs seperti itu di-band oleh otoritas, dan ada peringatan pula atas pelanggaran hukumnya. Setelah itu saya sadar… saya ini terbiasa maling hehehe… Ampun Ampun… Saya ngintip saja deh, kalau bagus… saya beli dah ke toko buku beli versi cetaknya.


The Next 100 Years – a forecast for the 21st century

George Friedman, “The Next 100 Years: A Forecast for the 21st Century”
Anchor | 2010 | ISBN: 0767923057 | 288 pages | PDF | 6,4 MB

A fascinating, eye-opening and often shocking look at what lies ahead for the U.S. and the world from one of our most incisive futurists.

In his thought-provoking new book, George Friedman, founder of STRATFOR—the preeminent private intelligence and forecasting firm—focuses on what he knows best, the future. Positing that civilization is at the dawn of a new era, he offers a lucid, highly readable forecast of the changes we can expect around the world during the twenty-first century all based on his own thorough analysis and research. For example, The U.S.-Jihadist war will be replaced by a new cold war with Russia; China’s role as a world power will diminish; Mexico will become an important force on the geopolitical stage; and new technologies and cultural trends will radically alter the way we live (and fight wars). Riveting reading from first to last, The Next 100 Years is a fascinating exploration of what the future holds for all of us.

For continual, updated analysis and supplemental material, go to http://www.Stratfor.com

Amazon.com Review:

Amazon Best of the Month, January 2009: “Be Practical, Expect the Impossible.” So declares George Friedman, chief intelligence officer and founder of Strategic Forecasting, Inc. (Stratfor), a private intelligence agency whose clients include foreign government agencies and Fortune 500 companies. Gathering information from its global network of operatives and analysts (drawing the nickname “the Shadow CIA”), Stratfor produces thoughtful and genuinely engrossing analysis of international events daily, from possible outcomes of the latest Pakistan/India tensions to the hierarchy of Mexican drug cartels to challenges to Obama’s nascent administration. In The Next 100 Years, Friedman undertakes the impossible (or improbable) challenge of forecasting world events through the 21st century. Starting with the premises that “conventional political analysis suffers from a profound failure of imagination” and “common sense will be wrong,” Friedman maps what he sees as the likeliest developments of the future, some intuitive, some surprising: more (but less catastrophic) wars; Russia’s re-emergence as an aggressive hegemonic power; China’s diminished influence in international affairs due to traditional social and economic imbalances; and the dawn of an American “Golden Age” in the second half of the century. Friedman is well aware that much of what he predicts will be wrong–unforeseeable events are, of course, unforeseen–but through his interpretation of geopolitics, one gets the sense that Friedman’s guess is better than most. –Jon Foro


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